Points difference from the 24/25 season | As of Jan 03, 2026 - Expected points: 89 (+15)

The summer is still long but here we go again. Hope I didn't make a mistake in the list. Not an easy start at all on paper, but there's a lot of potential to make up points in the first half of the season. Let's start updating this as the season unfolds, keeping tabs on the closest competitors too.

Leicester City become Leeds United
Ipswich Town become Burnley
Southampton become Sunderland

As of Jan 03, 2026 - Final expected points: 89 (+15)

Matchday	Home/Away	Opponent	Points 2024/25	Points 2025/26	Points difference	Total: 25/26 (compared to 24/25)
1.	Away	Manchester United	1	3	+ 2	+2
2.	Home	Leeds United	3	3	0	+2
3.	Away	Liverpool	1	0	- 1	+1
4.	Home	Nottingham Forest	3	3	0	+1
5.	Home	Manchester City	3	1	- 2	-1
6.	Away	Newcastle United	0	3	+ 3	+2
7.	Home	West Ham United	0	3	+ 3	+5
8.	Away	Fulham	1	3	+ 2	+7
9.	Home	Crystal Palace	1	3	+ 2	+9
10.	Away	Burnley	3	3	0	+9
11.	Away	Sunderland	3	1	- 2	+7
12.	Home	Sp**s	3	3	0	+7
13.	Away	Chelsea	1	1	0	+7
14.	Home	Brentford	1	3	+ 2	+9
15.	Away	Aston Villa	3	0	- 3	+6
16.	Home	Wolves	3	3	0	+6
17.	Away	Everton	1	3	+ 2	+8
18.	Home	Brighton	1	3	+ 2	+10
19.	Home	Aston Villa	1	3	+ 2	+12
20.	Away	Bournemouth	0	3	+ 3	+15
21.	Home	Liverpool	1
22.	Away	Nottingham Forest	1
23.	Home	Manchester United	3
24.	Away	Leeds United	3
25.	Home	Sunderland	3
26.	Away	Brentford	3
27.	Away	Sp**s	3
28.	Home	Chelsea	3
29.	Away	Brighton	1
30.	Home	Everton	1
31.	Away	Wolves	3
32.	Home	Bournemouth	0
33.	Away	Manchester City	1
34.	Home	Newcastle United	3
35.	Home	Fulham	3
36.	Away	West Ham United	3
37.	Home	Burnley	3
38.	Away	Crystal Palace	3

 

[Return of The King]

I predict 89 again if the injuries don't get even worse and let's be real they're pretty bad.

I predicted 90, I think we will win it as I can’t see any of our opponents doing high 80s or better

 

[albakos]

I predicted 90, I think we will win it as I can’t see any of our opponents doing high 80s or better

I pray we do, but then we'll be left with no more: Mao Ze Mik, Spanish Pulis and other colorful names

 

[Return of The King]

I pray we do, but then we'll left with no more: Mao Ze Mik, Spanish Pulis and other colorful names

Lol. Oh I will be apocalyptic if he somehow bottles it again. People have gotten used to the kinder and gentler Farzad. Chernobyl Mik needs to deliver; lucky for him I think any luck with injuries we have vest squad maybe best squad in Europe

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

Arsenal
1) Manchester United (A) +2
2) Leeds United (H) =
3) Liverpool (A) -1
4) Nottingham Forest (H) =
5) Manchester City (H) -2
6) Newcastle United (A) +3
7) West Ham United (H) +3
8) Fulham (A) +2
9) Crystal Palace (H) +2
10) Burnley (A) =
11) Sunderland (A) -2
12) Sp**s (H) =
13) Chelsea (A) =
14) Brentford (H) +2
15) Aston Villa (A) -3

Total: +6
Prognosis based on projected table: 80 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 84 points

Liverpool
1) Bournemouth (H) =
2) Newcastle United (A) +2
3) Arsenal (H) +2
4) Burnley (A) =
5) Everton (H) =
6) Crystal Palace (A) -3
7) Chelsea (A) =
8) Manchester United (H) -1
9) Brentford (A) -3
10) Aston Villa (H) =
11) Manchester City (A) -3
12) Nottingham Forest (H) =
13) West Ham United (A) =
14) Sunderland (H) -2
15) Leeds United (A) -2

Total: -10
Prognosis based on projected table: 74 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 58 points

Manchester City
1) Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) =
2) Tottenham Hotspur (H) =
3) Brighton (A) =
4) Manchester United (H) +3
5) Arsenal (A) +1
6) Burnley (H) =
7) Brentford (A) +2
8) Everton (H) +2
9) Aston Villa (A) =
10) Bournemouth (H) =
11) Liverpool (H) +3
12) Newcastle United (A) -1
13) Leeds United (H) =
14) Fulham (A) =
15) Sunderland (H) =

Total: +10
Prognosis based on projected table: 81 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 79 points

Chelsea
1) Crystal Palace (H) =
2) West Ham (A) =
3) Fulham (H) +3
4) Brentford (A) =
5) Manchester United (A) -1
6) Brighton (H) -3
7) Liverpool (H) =
8) Nottingham Forest (A) =
9) Sunderland (H) -3
10) Tottenham Hotspur (A) =
11) Wolves (H) =
12) Burnley (A) +3
13) Arsenal (H) =
14) Leeds United (A) -3
15) Bournemouth (A) -2

Total: -6
Prognosis based on projected table: 63
Prognosis based on PPG: 63

Round-up:

It's between us and City, the rest are dropping off quickly.

Next up:

Chelsea - Everton: 26 Apr 2025 — Nicolas Jackson's first goal in 13 Premier League matches provided a major boost to Chelsea's UEFA Champions League qualification hopes as they beat Everton 1-0 at Stamford Bridge.
Liverpool - Brighton: 2 Nov 2024 — A second-half comeback from Liverpool saw them return to the Premier League summit with a 2-1 win over Brighton & Hove Albion at Anfield.
Arsenal - Wolves: 17 Aug 2024 — Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka were on target as Arsenal began the new Premier League season with a comfortable 2-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Crystal Palace - Man City: 7 Dec 2024 — Crystal Palace and Manchester City played out an entertaining 2-2 draw at Selhurst Park that extended the reigning champions' winless away run to four league matches.

Awful round in terms of projected points. Liverpool and Chelsea don't really matter, and City have the opportunity to improve their +10 to a +12 this round if they beat Palace. We just have to win.

 

[BenTal]

if we win the next 4 games, we will end up with 45 points for half of the season, which is very good. Hopefully, we push more in the second half

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

Arsenal
1) Manchester United (A) +2
2) Leeds United (H) =
3) Liverpool (A) -1
4) Nottingham Forest (H) =
5) Manchester City (H) -2
6) Newcastle United (A) +3
7) West Ham United (H) +3
8) Fulham (A) +2
9) Crystal Palace (H) +2
10) Burnley (A) =
11) Sunderland (A) -2
12) Sp**s (H) =
13) Chelsea (A) =
14) Brentford (H) +2
15) Aston Villa (A) -3
16) Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) =

Total: +6
Prognosis based on projected table: 80 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 86 points

Liverpool
1) Bournemouth (H) =
2) Newcastle United (A) +2
3) Arsenal (H) +2
4) Burnley (A) =
5) Everton (H) =
6) Crystal Palace (A) -3
7) Chelsea (A) =
8) Manchester United (H) -1
9) Brentford (A) -3
10) Aston Villa (H) =
11) Manchester City (A) -3
12) Nottingham Forest (H) =
13) West Ham United (A) =
14) Sunderland (H) -2
15) Leeds United (A) -2
16) Brighton (H) =

Total: -10
Prognosis based on projected table: 74 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 62 points

Manchester City
1) Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) =
2) Tottenham Hotspur (H) =
3) Brighton (A) =
4) Manchester United (H) +3
5) Arsenal (A) +1
6) Burnley (H) =
7) Brentford (A) +2
8) Everton (H) +2
9) Aston Villa (A) =
10) Bournemouth (H) =
11) Liverpool (H) +3
12) Newcastle United (A) -1
13) Leeds United (H) =
14) Fulham (A) =
15) Sunderland (H) =
16) Crystal Palace (A) +2

Total: +12
Prognosis based on projected table: 83 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 81 points

Chelsea
1) Crystal Palace (H) =
2) West Ham (A) =
3) Fulham (H) +3
4) Brentford (A) =
5) Manchester United (A) -1
6) Brighton (H) -3
7) Liverpool (H) =
8) Nottingham Forest (A) =
9) Sunderland (H) -3
10) Tottenham Hotspur (A) =
11) Wolves (H) =
12) Burnley (A) +3
13) Arsenal (H) =
14) Leeds United (A) -3
15) Bournemouth (A) -2
16) Everton (H) =

Total: -6
Prognosis based on projected table: 63
Prognosis based on PPG: 67

Round-up:

City have overtaken us in the projected table, as they beat Palace and go 12 points above what they did last year. It's still very close though and we have some big opportunities next:

Next up:

Newcastle - Chelsea: 11 May 2025 — Newcastle United inched closer to UEFA Champions League qualification as they battled to a crucial 2-0 win over 10-man Chelsea.
Man City - West Ham: 4 Jan 2025 — Erling Haaland scored twice as Manchester City claimed back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since October with a rampant 4-1 win over West Ham United at the Etihad Stadium.
Sp**s - Liverpool: 22 Dec 2024 — Liverpool stormed four points clear at the top of the Premier League heading into Christmas with a thrilling 6-3 win over Tottenham Hotspur.
Everton - Arsenal: 5 Apr 2025 — Iliman Ndiaye's penalty earned a point for Everton as they fought back to draw 1-1 with Arsenal at Goodison Park, who dropped more points in the title race.

Huge round in terms of the projected table. If we win we can go level with Man City on 83 points, and it would be a huge boost for our morale. Moreover, this is the first of SIX games in a row where we dropped points last year and we can improve. A good run here could take us over the 90 points line.

 

[boxerumble]

Shouldn’t Aston villa be added to this as the so called dark horse?

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

Arsenal
1) Manchester United (A) +2
2) Leeds United (H) =
3) Liverpool (A) -1
4) Nottingham Forest (H) =
5) Manchester City (H) -2
6) Newcastle United (A) +3
7) West Ham United (H) +3
8) Fulham (A) +2
9) Crystal Palace (H) +2
10) Burnley (A) =
11) Sunderland (A) -2
12) Sp**s (H) =
13) Chelsea (A) =
14) Brentford (H) +2
15) Aston Villa (A) -3
16) Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) =
17) Everton (A) +2

Total: +8
Prognosis based on projected table: 82 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 87 points

Liverpool
1) Bournemouth (H) =
2) Newcastle United (A) +2
3) Arsenal (H) +2
4) Burnley (A) =
5) Everton (H) =
6) Crystal Palace (A) -3
7) Chelsea (A) =
8) Manchester United (H) -1
9) Brentford (A) -3
10) Aston Villa (H) =
11) Manchester City (A) -3
12) Nottingham Forest (H) =
13) West Ham United (A) =
14) Sunderland (H) -2
15) Leeds United (A) -2
16) Brighton (H) =
17) Sp**s (A) =

Total: -10
Prognosis based on projected table: 74 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 65 points

Manchester City
1) Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) =
2) Tottenham Hotspur (H) =
3) Brighton (A) =
4) Manchester United (H) +3
5) Arsenal (A) +1
6) Burnley (H) =
7) Brentford (A) +2
8) Everton (H) +2
9) Aston Villa (A) =
10) Bournemouth (H) =
11) Liverpool (H) +3
12) Newcastle United (A) -1
13) Leeds United (H) =
14) Fulham (A) =
15) Sunderland (H) =
16) Crystal Palace (A) +2
17) West Ham United (H) =

Total: +12
Prognosis based on projected table: 83 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 83 points

Chelsea
1) Crystal Palace (H) =
2) West Ham (A) =
3) Fulham (H) +3
4) Brentford (A) =
5) Manchester United (A) -1
6) Brighton (H) -3
7) Liverpool (H) =
8) Nottingham Forest (A) =
9) Sunderland (H) -3
10) Tottenham Hotspur (A) =
11) Wolves (H) =
12) Burnley (A) +3
13) Arsenal (H) =
14) Leeds United (A) -3
15) Bournemouth (A) -2
16) Everton (H) =
17) Newcastle United (A) +1

Total: -5
Prognosis based on projected table: 64
Prognosis based on PPG: 65

Round-up:

Good start of our little run where we messed up last year. It wasn't great, but we should've been clear and lacked in the final third. It's the three points that matter and we move closer to City in that regard.

Next up:

Nottingham Forest - Manchester City: 8 Mar 2025 — Callum Hudson-Odoi boosted Nottingham Forest's hopes of qualifying for the UEFA Champions League as his late goal earned his side 1-0 win over Manchester City.
Liverpool - Wolverhampton Wanderers: 16 Feb 2025 — Liverpool responded to their midweek draw with Everton by beating Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 to restore their seven-point lead at the top.
Arsenal - Brighton: 31 Aug 2024 — A red card for Declan Rice proved key as Arsenal dropped their first points of the Premier League season in a 1-1 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion.
Chelsea - Aston Villa: 1 Dec 2024 — Cole Palmer's sublime strike capped off a fantastic 3-0 win for Chelsea over Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge on Sunday.

Could be another good weekend next week. City have the opportunity to get to a projected total of 86 points of course, but they are shaky defensively and could drop points to Forest away. Meanwhile we have Brighton at home, we should really be winning that and get to +11!

 

[Sanchez11]

Where we at?

 

[boonthegoon]

Where we at?

Another +2. But sadly city get a +3

 

[Yousif Arsenal]

Imo I notice the teams we dropped points against last season Newcastle utd Brighton Fulham Everton we all won these games only Villa Liverpool and city we done worse we gone from 7 points to 1 point

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

Arsenal
1) Manchester United (A) +2
2) Leeds United (H) =
3) Liverpool (A) -1
4) Nottingham Forest (H) =
5) Manchester City (H) -2
6) Newcastle United (A) +3
7) West Ham United (H) +3
8) Fulham (A) +2
9) Crystal Palace (H) +2
10) Burnley (A) =
11) Sunderland (A) -2
12) Sp**s (H) =
13) Chelsea (A) =
14) Brentford (H) +2
15) Aston Villa (A) -3
16) Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) =
17) Everton (A) +2
18) Brighton (H) +2

Total: +10
Prognosis based on projected table: 84 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 89 points

Liverpool
1) Bournemouth (H) =
2) Newcastle United (A) +2
3) Arsenal (H) +2
4) Burnley (A) =
5) Everton (H) =
6) Crystal Palace (A) -3
7) Chelsea (A) =
8) Manchester United (H) -1
9) Brentford (A) -3
10) Aston Villa (H) =
11) Manchester City (A) -3
12) Nottingham Forest (H) =
13) West Ham United (A) =
14) Sunderland (H) -2
15) Leeds United (A) -2
16) Brighton (H) =
17) Sp**s (A) =
18) Wolves (H) =

Total: -10
Prognosis based on projected table: 74 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 68 points

Manchester City
1) Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) =
2) Tottenham Hotspur (H) =
3) Brighton (A) =
4) Manchester United (H) +3
5) Arsenal (A) +1
6) Burnley (H) =
7) Brentford (A) +2
8) Everton (H) +2
9) Aston Villa (A) =
10) Bournemouth (H) =
11) Liverpool (H) +3
12) Newcastle United (A) -1
13) Leeds United (H) =
14) Fulham (A) =
15) Sunderland (H) =
16) Crystal Palace (A) +2
17) West Ham United (H) =
18) Nottingham Forest (A) +3

Total: +15
Prognosis based on projected table: 86 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 84 points

Round-up:

Second game out of six where we get maximum points, where we lost points last year. Need to keep adding them to get a really good outlook and stay ahead of Man City, who are doing very well themselves. I've deleted Chelsea from the discussion as they're heading to -8 with the Villa loss, projected 61 points. They're in a race for Champions League, not for the title. If we lose to Villa on Tuesday, I could start adding them, but I feel like they're outperforming themselves and won't keep it up.

Next up:

Arsenal - Aston Villa: 18 Jan 2025 — Aston Villa once again dented Arsenal’s Premier League title charge after coming from two goals down to draw 2-2 at the Emirates Stadium.
Liverpool - Leeds United (Leicester City): 26 Dec 2024 — Liverpool extended their lead at the top of the Premier League to seven points by fighting back to beat a spirited Leicester City 3-1 at Anfield.
Sunderland (Southampton) - Manchester City: 10 May 2025 — Manchester City were held to a 0-0 draw at Southampton that leaves them looking over their shoulder in the race for the top five and UEFA Champions League.

Another round where both us and Manchester City can gain points over last years results. Going to be interesting, Sunderland are tough at home but City are relentless at the moment. If we beat Villa at home it's looking like a two horse race on the midway point.

 

[BigPoppaPump]

Arsenal
1) Manchester United (A) +2
2) Leeds United (H) =
3) Liverpool (A) -1
4) Nottingham Forest (H) =
5) Manchester City (H) -2
6) Newcastle United (A) +3
7) West Ham United (H) +3
8) Fulham (A) +2
9) Crystal Palace (H) +2
10) Burnley (A) =
11) Sunderland (A) -2
12) Sp**s (H) =
13) Chelsea (A) =
14) Brentford (H) +2
15) Aston Villa (A) -3
16) Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) =
17) Everton (A) +2
18) Brighton (H) +2

Total: +10
Prognosis based on projected table: 84 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 89 points

Liverpool
1) Bournemouth (H) =
2) Newcastle United (A) +2
3) Arsenal (H) +2
4) Burnley (A) =
5) Everton (H) =
6) Crystal Palace (A) -3
7) Chelsea (A) =
8) Manchester United (H) -1
9) Brentford (A) -3
10) Aston Villa (H) =
11) Manchester City (A) -3
12) Nottingham Forest (H) =
13) West Ham United (A) =
14) Sunderland (H) -2
15) Leeds United (A) -2
16) Brighton (H) =
17) Sp**s (A) =
18) Wolves (H) =

Total: -10
Prognosis based on projected table: 74 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 68 points

Manchester City
1) Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) =
2) Tottenham Hotspur (H) =
3) Brighton (A) =
4) Manchester United (H) +3
5) Arsenal (A) +1
6) Burnley (H) =
7) Brentford (A) +2
8) Everton (H) +2
9) Aston Villa (A) =
10) Bournemouth (H) =
11) Liverpool (H) +3
12) Newcastle United (A) -1
13) Leeds United (H) =
14) Fulham (A) =
15) Sunderland (H) =
16) Crystal Palace (A) +2
17) West Ham United (H) =
18) Nottingham Forest (A) +3

Total: +15
Prognosis based on projected table: 86 points
Prognosis based on PPG: 84 points

Round-up:

Second game out of six where we get maximum points, where we lost points last year. Need to keep adding them to get a really good outlook and stay ahead of Man City, who are doing very well themselves. I've deleted Chelsea from the discussion as they're heading to -8 with the Villa loss, projected 61 points. They're in a race for Champions League, not for the title. If we lose to Villa on Tuesday, I could start adding them, but I feel like they're outperforming themselves and won't keep it up.

Next up:

Arsenal - Aston Villa: 18 Jan 2025 — Aston Villa once again dented Arsenal’s Premier League title charge after coming from two goals down to draw 2-2 at the Emirates Stadium.
Liverpool - Leeds United (Leicester City): 26 Dec 2024 — Liverpool extended their lead at the top of the Premier League to seven points by fighting back to beat a spirited Leicester City 3-1 at Anfield.
Sunderland (Southampton) - Manchester City: 10 May 2025 — Manchester City were held to a 0-0 draw at Southampton that leaves them looking over their shoulder in the race for the top five and UEFA Champions League.

Another round where both us and Manchester City can gain points over last years results. Going to be interesting, Sunderland are tough at home but City are relentless at the moment. If we beat Villa at home it's looking like a two horse race on the midway point.

Have Arsenal conceded more or less goals so far than last season?

 

[teamsoutheast]

Have Arsenal conceded more or less goals so far than last season?

Less. At GW18 last season we conceded 16 goals and we currently have only conceded 11. We also scored 2 less than we did last season. 35 last year and 33 this year.

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

Have Arsenal conceded more or less goals so far than last season?

 

[BigPoppaPump]

Ffs why are they showing me all these pointless stats I just want to see the goals.

 

[Sanchez11]

Are we plus 13 now?

 

[albakos]

Are we plus 13 now?

+12, we gained +2 pts from the same fixture of last season.

 

[Sanchez11]

+12, we gained +2 pts from the same fixture of last season.

Thanks, Beat B'mouth then where we at?

 

[BenTal]

Thanks, Beat B'mouth then where we at?

We lost to them back to back