📊 Stats Points difference from the previous season

Luton Town becomes Leicester City
Burnley becomes Ipswitch
Sheffield United becomes Southampton

March 16, 2025 - Projected points: 81

Matchday	Home/Away	Opponent	Points 23/24	Points 24/25	Points diff	Total: 24/25 compared to 23/24
1	Home	Wolves	3	3	0	0
2	Away	Villa	0	3	+3	+3
3	Home	Brighton	3	1	-2	+1
4	Away	Sp**s	3	3	0	+1
5	Away	115 FC	1	1	0	+1
6	Home	Leicester	3	3	0	+1
7	Home	Southampton	3	3	0	+1
8	Away	Bournemouth	3	0	-3	-2
9	Home	Liverpool	3	1	-2	-4
10	Away	Newcastle	0	0	0	-4
11	Away	Chelsea	1	1	0	-4
12	Home	Nottingham Forest	3	3	0	-4
13	Away	West Ham	3	3	0	-4
14	Home	Man United	3	3	0	-4
15	Away	Fulham	0	1	+1	-3
16	Home	Everton	3	1	-2	-5
17	Away	Crystal Palace	3	3	0	-5
18	Home	Ipswich	3	3	0	-5
19	Away	Brentford	3	3	0	-5
20	Away	Brighton	3	1	-2	-7
21	Home	Sp**s	1	3	+2	-5
22	Home	Aston Villa	0	1	+1	-4
23	Away	Wolves	3	3	0	-4
24	Home	115 FC	3	3	0	-4
25	Away	Leicester	3	3	0	-4
26	Home	West Ham	0	0	0	-4
27	Away	Nottingham Forest	3	1	-2	-6
28	Away	Man United	3	1	-2	-8
29	Home	Chelsea	3	3	0	-8
30	Home	Fulham	1
31	Away	Everton	3
32	Home	Brentford	3
33	Away	Ipswich Town	3
34	Home	Crystal Palace	3
35	Home	Bournemouth	3
36	Away	Liverpool	1
37	Home	Newcastle	3
38	Away	Southampton	3

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

They are now on plus 2, which puts them on 84 projected points. We are on minus 4, which puts us first on 85 points.

Injuries will do us unfortunately but it was getting closer than the actual table suggests.

 

[albakos]

They are now on plus 2, which puts them on 84 projected points. We are on minus 4, which puts us first on 85 points.

Injuries will do us unfortunately but it was getting closer than the actual table suggests.

They are now also projected at 85, because they had 83 last season.

We're now equal, but I hope we can keep the pace with 3 straight wins as they have a very difficult period of Villa, City and Newcastle.

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

They are now also projected at 85, because they had 83 last season.

We're now equal, but I hope we can keep the pace with 3 straight wins as they have a very difficult period of Villa, City and Newcastle.

 

[albakos]

View attachment 32308

Then I stand corrected, thank you.

I always thought they ended with 83 tbf, I think we should all blame @Synical in unison when she started making these tables

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

Liverpool now play Wolves at home, which they won 2-0 last year. We are going to Leicester, who replace Luton, where we won in the last minute 3-4. So that means both teams have a +3 coming with points to drop.

After that it's getting interesting:

Aston Villa - Liverpool 3-3
Man City - Liverpool 5-1
Liverpool - Newcastle 4-2

They only got 4 points from the same fixtures last year of a possible 9. The same results this year would be massive.

 

[Synical]

Then I stand corrected, thank you.

I always thought they ended with 83 tbf, I think we should all blame @Synical in unison when she started making these tables

You will notice I never update the 'projected' bit because I didn't know which method you guys were using. So don't blame me

 

[amigo]

They are now on plus 2, which puts them on 84 projected points. We are on minus 4, which puts us first on 85 points.

Injuries will do us unfortunately but it was getting closer than the actual table suggests.

But this all ignores that they are much better this season.. our attack is weaker too.

 

[Synical]

Chelsea:

1) City (H) -1
2) Wolves (A) +3
3) Crystal Palace (H) -2
4) Bournemouth (A)+2
5) West Ham (A) +3
6) Brighton (H)=
7) Forest (H)+1
8) Liverpool (A) =
9) Newcastle (H) =
10) United (A) +1
11) Arsenal (H)=
12) Leicester City (A) =
13) Aston Villa (H) +3
14) Southampton (A) +2
15) Tottenham (A)=
16) Brentford (H) +3
17) Everton (A) +1
18) Fulham (H) = -3
19) Ipswich (A) = -3
20) Crystal Palace (A) -2
21) Bournemouth (H) -2
22) Wolves (H) +3
23) 115 (A) -1
24) West Ham (H)=
25) Brighton (A) -3

Total= +5

Only tracking Chelsea because it's fun to see their number decrease (they were +16 before Xmas!)...they are definitely not in a title race

Projected: 68

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

But this all ignores that they are much better this season.. our attack is weaker too.

Yea they are two points better than last season. Doesn't ignore anything besides it being a little speculation.

 

[Hleb's Sirush]

But this all ignores that they are much better this season.. our attack is weaker too.

They aren't better than last season let alone much better. They just didn't have any injuries like they did last. If Salah, Gakpo, Van Dijk etc get injured for a period they will look exactly how they looked last season. Our attack is weaker though but we are still fighting so let's see.

 

[Gooner Zig]

Liverpool now play Wolves at home, which they won 2-0 last year. We are going to Leicester, who replace Luton, where we won in the last minute 3-4. So that means both teams have a +3 coming with points to drop.

After that it's getting interesting:

Aston Villa - Liverpool 3-3
Man City - Liverpool 5-1
Liverpool - Newcastle 4-2

They only got 4 points from the same fixtures last year of a possible 9. The same results this year would be massive.

Liverpool drew 1-1 vs City at the Etihad last season

 

[Gooner Zig]

We can actually move to just 1 pt off matching our results from equivalent fixtures if we beat West Ham next week. Pretty wild given the injuries + red cards.

 

[albakos]

We can actually move to just 1 pt off matching our results from equivalent fixtures if we beat West Ham next week. Pretty wild given the injuries + red cards.

True, but then the only new points we can gather is Fulham at home (+2) and Liverpool away (+2), which ideally sends us to 92.

We still have some potential banana skins like Forest (A), United (A), Chelsea (H), Everton (A) and Newcastle (H).

Pool are have far more tough matches though: Villa (A), City (A), Newcastle (H), Everton (A), Sp**s (H), Chelsea (A), Arsenal (H), Brighton (A)

 

[Gooner Zig]

True, but then the only new points we can gather is Fulham at home (+2) and Liverpool away (+2), which ideally sends us to 92.

We still have some potential banana skins like Forest (A), United (A), Chelsea (H), Everton (A) and Newcastle (H).

Pool are have far more tough matches though: Villa (A), City (A), Newcastle (H), Everton (A), Sp**s (H), Chelsea (A), Arsenal (H), Brighton (A)

We are absolutely going to drop more points - we literally don't have any attackers

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

We are absolutely going to drop more points - we literally don't have any attackers

We have the Spanish Fellaini.

 

[Synical]

True, but then the only new points we can gather is Fulham at home (+2) and Liverpool away (+2), which ideally sends us to 92.

We still have some potential banana skins like Forest (A), United (A), Chelsea (H), Everton (A) and Newcastle (H).

Pool are have far more tough matches though: Villa (A), City (A), Newcastle (H), Everton (A), Sp**s (H), Chelsea (A), Arsenal (H), Brighton (A)

I was going to ask why you are worried about United (A) then I remembered our attacker situation

 

[albakos]

I was going to ask why you are worried about United (A) then I remembered our attacker situation

Although in recent years we had few wins there, we usually seem to have some kind of a mental block when going there. While other teams like City, Liverpool, Sp**s and even the likes of Brentford, palace or Brighton spanked them at OT, we barely win by a one goal lead. And they usually raise their game against us as well as you said we have zero attackers, although Merindinho might prove to be a shrewd option.

 

[SA Gunner]

We are absolutely going to drop more points - we literally don't have any attackers

Yet we are finding solutions.

We’ll continue find a way to win games until our attack is of standard again. There is enough to our overall game to keep us competitive.

The only real challenge is maintaining fitness.

 

[Synical]

Liverpool

1) Ipswich (A) =
2) Brentford (H) =
3) United (A) +2
4) Forest (H) -3
5) Bournemouth (H) =
6) Wolves (A) =
7) Palace (A) =
8) Chelsea (H) =
9)Arsenal (A): +1
10)Brighton (H) =
11)Villa (H) =
12)Southampton (A) =
13)Man City (H) +2
14)Newcastle (A) -2
15)Everton (A) +1 Jones Slot '90+13
16) Fulham (H)-2 Robertson 17'
17) Tottenham (A) +3
18) Leicester (H) =
19) West Ham (H) +2
20) Manchester United (H) (=)
21) Nottingham Forest (A) -2
22) Brentford (A) =
23) Ipswich (H) =
24) Bournemouth (A) =
25) Wolves (H) =

Total: + 2

Projected: 84 points


115/130:

1) Chelsea (A) +2
2) Ipswich (H) =
3) West Ham (A) =
4) Brentford (H) =
5) Arsenal (H) =
6) Newcastle (A) -2
7) Fulham (H) =
8) Wolves (A) =
9) Southampton (H) =
10) Bournemouth (A) -3
11) Brighton (A) -3
12) Sp**s (H) -1
13) Liverpool (A) -1
14) Nottingham Forest (H) =
15) Crystal Palace (A) -2 Lewis 84'
16) Man United (H) -3
17) Aston Villa (A) =
18) Everton (H) -2
19) Leicester City (A) =
20) West Ham (H) =
21) Brentford (A) -2
22) Ipswich (A) =
23) Chelsea (H) +
24) Arsenal (A) =
25) Newcastle (H) =

Total: -15

Projected: 76 points

 

[Dennis_Bergkamp_10]

1) Wolves (H) =
2) Villa (A) +3
3) Brighton (H) -2 49' Rice
4) Sp**s (A)=
5) Man City (A) = () 45+8' Trossard
6) Leicester (H)=
7) Southampton (H)=
8) Bournemouth (A) -3 () 30' Saliba
9) Liverpool (H) -2
10) Newcastle (A) =
11) Chelsea (A) =
12) Nottingham Forest (H) =
13) West Ham (A) =
14) Man United (H) =
15) Fulham (A)+1
16) Everton (H) -2
17) Crystal Palace (A) =
18) Ipswich (H) =
19) Brentford (A) =
20) Brighton (A) -2
21) Sp**s (H) = +2
22) Aston Villa (H) = +1
23) Wolves (A) = 40' Lewis Skelly
24) City (H) =
25) Leicester (A) =

Total= -4

win
draw
loss
red card

Projected stays the same, Arsenal on 85 and Liverpool on 84. Next week we have HUGE games in terms of the projected table. Liverpool have now have Aston Villa away midweek, a game where they played 3-3 last year and then it's City away, where they drew 1-1. So last year it was only 2 points, they have a huge opportunity to go clear in both the actual table and projected table. But given their form and their schedule, I'm hoping for 1 point maximum. Both Villa and City need the points in their hunt for CL.

Then there's Arsenal. We have West Ham at home, a game we lost 0-2 last year, and we have a full week rest. A win would bring our projected total to 88 points, which is huge given what we've been through. This thread could get ugly this week if Liverpool get 4 points or more, or it could get really feisty.