Mostarac
Established Member
My favourite opponent for us in the next round would be Benfica, the teams to avoid at all costs are Milan and Barcelona(the current favourites for the Champions League).
gstew said:6) Milan -- I think that we match up well in most parts of the field and their strikers don't concern me too much (except on set pieces). But I would expect Seedorf and Kaka to carve up our defence. Those two are dramatically better than anything that Madrid could throw at us. And their second team midfield (Rui Costa, Jankulovski, Ambrosini, Serginho, Vogel) is slightly better than our starting midfield. Even though their defence is experienced, big and good, conversely they are slow and old. I can see us possibly beating them, but only if we can contain Kaka and Seedorf. [be]25% chance of victory[/be]
gstew said:4)I truly believe that they are entering a downward trend with most of their important players at 30 or older (Emerson, Nedved, Vieira, Zambrotta, Thuram, Del Piero, Cannavaro, Camoranesi). They currently have only [be]one [/be]starter under the age of 28. Like Arsenal a few years ago, they are a wonderful team whose core has played together for a number of years. This stability is fantastic for team play and allows the whole to be greater than the sum of the parts. But it also leads to a team collectively aging and players that have forgotten that they need to fight for their place. Like us, their fall will be precipitous. Juve is [be]extremely vulnerable[/be] and it would not surprise me if Milan are within two or three points of them going into the last round of Serie A. And I expect them to be passed by both Milan and Inter next year. Their decline is not just wishful thinking, it is inevitable. And watching them the last couple of months I think it has already started.
Mostarac said:All in all, objectively and arguably Milan have a better offensive than us(Kaka, Inzaghi, Shevchenko and Gilardino), better midfield options than we have and a much better defense. If we get Milan, the chances for progress would be extremely small.
gstew said:Their strikers don't really create goals (especially Inzaghi and Gilardino), the team creates goals for the strikers. That is why I am not overly concerned with them, but am very concerned with Kaka and Seedorf. They are two of the best in the world at breaking down a defence and dragging defenders out of position. That is when their strikers usually score (although Schevchenko does sometimes create his own).
Mostarac said:I do not agree with this at all. Capello is one of the best(if not the best) managers in the world, and he knows that he will have to renew his team. And to compare Arsenal`s demise to Juventus is very naive, Juventus are a bigger club and will always have a lot of money(they have the best sponsor and TV-deals in the world right now) they can spend on big stars which will take their club forward, Arsenal do not have the same spending power at all, and must at times go for young and unexperienced players while Juventus pick players from the top-shelf. And guys like Emerson, Zambrotta, Cannavaro and Camoranesi are all getting in their prime-age, even a guy like Del Piero is still great at times. You seem to forget that they also have the best goalkeeper in the world, Buffon is only 27-28 years old. They have a good/young striker in Ibrahimovic, an excellent goalscorer in Trezeguet, a really talented and up-and-coming left-back in Chiellini which is pushing the world`s best left-back(Zambrotta) all the way to the point that Capello has pushed Zambrotta to the right-back in order to accomodate Chiellini at the left-back at times. And Juventus ALWAYS get the referees with them. And when you take all that in acount, your anticipation of the fall of Juventus is greatly exaggerated.
I have only seen Milan play 6 times this year. But in each game Seedorf has created goal scoring opportunities out of absolutely nothing. In each case he has dragged defenders away from the strikers while carrying the ball from the 40 yard line into the box. He has looked very good to me. He is very similar to Hleb, but with a much better final product.Mostarac said:I agree about that, but I would not worry too much about Seedorf, he has really been s**t this entire season, and Milan are already looking for a replacement this summer.
I meant Inter/Ajax whichever one goes through.USArsenal said:well, we cant exactly play Inter or Ajax, its one or the other that goes through... and i'd take my chances v. Benfica before I would want to play Inter or Lyon
gstew said:I respectfully disagree with you. Do you remember when Henry was never injured and could play three games in a week at full speed? Henry is the same age as Zambrotta, Cannavaro, Camoranesi, Zebina and Trezeguet. Henry is at the tail end of his prime, just like those five Juve starters. The other starters (bar Ibrahimovich) Vieira, Emerson, Nedved and Thuram are all past their prime. They are still good players, but they are not as good as they once were and they will worsen at a much quicker rate than they improved years ago.
gstew said:Juve is just finishing a stage where the whole is greater than the sum of their parts. Their team is better than their players. It is true that their financial power will allow them to buy excellent talent. But this is a team sport and they will have a transition period where the sum of the parts that they buy will definitely be greater than the whole. The players will be better than the team. During that period Milan and Inter will be much better positioned and Juve will be extremely vulnerable. I have watched them quite a bit this year and they have worsened throughout the season. They continue to win by being tougher than their opponents. But quite often they are not better.
gstew said:I have only seen Milan play 6 times this year. But in each game Seedorf has created goal scoring opportunities out of absolutely nothing. In each case he has dragged defenders away from the strikers while carrying the ball from the 40 yard line into the box. He has looked very good to me. He is very similar to Hleb, but with a much better final product.