Why should I? The way he wanted a penalty for the Arsenal was anything but subtle
He's on our side, embrace it
That's 16 games then which is a total of max 48 points.We can lose 7 of the remaining 23 games and still finish on 90+ points which isn't bad.
88 points or 90 point, who cares?That's 16 games then which is a total of max 48 points.
So with 40 points in the bag, how would that bring us with 90+ points
Another @Oxeki classic, this time with Essien's calculator
This reads like someone who hasn't got a clue how statistics and probabilities work. I'd like a source on that "99.9% swing state" number too because that just sounds like you're chatting ****.Pretty sure it was higher than 70%, and more importantly he gave her a 99.9% chance of winning some big swing state which she lost. 538 is one of the biggest scams in a country consisting of mostly scammers.
Just look at this gross charlatan, he could predict to me that after green the traffic light turns to red and I wouldn't believe him
And when he's not spectacularly wrong he makes "predictions" like these
This reads like someone who hasn't got a clue how statistics and probabilities work. I'd like a source on that "99.9% swing state" number too because that just sounds like you're chatting ****.
I can definitely buy that the football probabilities because with politics you have polling data as empirical evidence that is at least somewhat reliable. With football it's harder to quantify some objective metric to predict who is going to win.
This reads like someone who hasn't got a clue how statistics and probabilities work. I'd like a source on that "99.9% swing state" number too because that just sounds like you're chatting ****.
I can definitely buy that the football probabilities because with politics you have polling data as empirical evidence that is at least somewhat reliable. With football it's harder to quantify some objective metric to predict who is going to win.
You forgot United. But yes impressive nonetheless.It just hit me. After Brighton, we would have played all the top 10 teams (except City of course) once and beaten them. City still have to play Chelsea and Spuds twice plus at some point they will have to prioritize the CL. We might just pull this off.
This reads like someone who hasn't got a clue how statistics and probabilities work. I'd like a source on that "99.9% swing state" number too because that just sounds like you're chatting ****.
It just hit me. After Brighton, we would have played all the top 10 teams (except City of course) once and beaten them. City still have to play Chelsea and Spuds twice plus at some point they will have to prioritize the CL. We might just pull this off.
You trying too hard and look foolish.
Try and be a little more subtle and you'll get somewhere.
17 points more than last season damn and last season we were solid. If we get 9 points from next 4 games and finish first half of season around 45-50 points we into something special.
Oh you weren't even talking about Hillary v. Trump one. It was that Michigan primary race.Mich. Democratic Primary Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight
Polls and predictions for the 2016 Michigan Democratic primary: Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sandersprojects.fivethirtyeight.com
Posted in the article I quoted above,
Nah you just sound like one of those typical "wow something that only had a 30% chance of happening according to the model happened, therefore probability theory is useless" people.funny btw how you use Silver's exact same "no one bar me understands statistics" argument. Do you work for that website or are you just being a complete bellend for no reason?
Nah not really, I don't think the polling averages in the recent election cycles have been outside or att least not far off from a normal polling error. You have to to take into account the margin of error when you look at a poll.Even the polling data is rubbish; the way they take their samples are not true representations of the populace. It's why the mainstream pollsters have been so awful in recent times. Additionally, there's the preference falsification effect.
Nah not really, I don't think the polling averages in the recent election cycles have been outside or att least not far off from a normal polling error. You have to to take into account the margin of error when you look at a poll.
How so?
The first goal was completely the referees making. No checks, nothing. Unlike our penalty. What about the consistent fouls on our players, like Tierney, Martinelli, Saka?
Sometimes its important to look beyond your agenda, and what actually happens out there.